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Bruins vs. Penguins Prediction, Odds, Picks (April 25, 2021)



NHL trade, Pittsburgh Penguins Sidney Crosby

The Bruins had their six-game winning streak snapped last time out by a suddenly plucky Sabres team that has been giving opponents fits since ending their 18-game winless streak back on March 31. Meanwhile, the Pittsburgh Penguins enter today’s contest after completing a stretch of 10-games against teams not in playoff position with a 4-2 win over the Devils.

Let’s take a look at the third and final of three straight meetings between these teams from a betting perspective in our Devils vs. Penguins betting preview with odds, picks, and predictions.

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The Bruins’ recent hot stretch provided some cushion over the Rangers, who have closed to within six points for the final playoff spot. However, in the process of building that cushion, they lost captain Patrice Bergeron to a lower body injury, one that could have a significant impact down the stretch.

The Penguins, who have gone 7-2-1 over their last 10 games, now find themselves alone in second place in the East, just one point behind first-place Washington.

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Bruins vs. Penguins Prediction

The Bruins are a stellar 4-2 vs. the Penguins this year and five of the six games were low-scoring affairs with the teams combining for five or fewer goals. The loan outlier was a 7-5 Boston victory back on April 3.

Meanwhile, the Bruins have been a quality road team of late, going 7-3-0 over their last 10 games away from TD Bank Arena. Boston is in the midst of a five-game road trip that ends with a pair against the Penguins at PPG Paints Arena.

Maybe it has just been the nature of their competition, but the Penguins’ offense continues to be unmatched in the division. They’ve now scored 52 goals in 12 April games, paced by the top line of Sidney Crosby, Jake Guentzel and Bryan Rust. That trio has now combined for 44 points in those 12 games.

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Bruins vs. Penguins Odds

Here are the Bruins vs. Penguins odds at DraftKings Sportsbook:

Penguins+1.5 (-286)-105O 5.5 (+115)
Islanders-1.5 (+230)-110U 5.5 (-139)

Bets We Like With a Penguins Win

Jake Guentzel OVER 0.5 goals (+194, FanDuel)

Guentzel is a prolific goal scorer and has three goals in his last four games against Boston. Still, he’s in the middle of a scoring drought right now. In fact, Guentzel has not scored in six straight games, matching a season-long streak, and he’s only scored in one of his last eight games.

You can be assured that Guentzel is going to look to put an end that skid today.

If the Penguins are going to beat the Bruins, they’re going to need to find some offense against a Boston team that has been playing better defensively lately, especially since both of their top two goalies returned to the lineup. Simply put, when a team needs offense, it turns to its best players.

In this case, Guentzel is tied for the team lead with 20 goals. This adds up to a good value bet, if you like Pittsburgh today.

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Bets We Like With a Bruins Win

Bruins to score first and win the match (+160, FanDuel)

Boston has been a team that gets out early in a lot of games this season. The Bruins have scored first in four of their six contests against the Penguins. Moreover, when the Bruins score first, they are an impressive 19-5-3 overall.

Bergeron’s injury lists him as day-to-day, after he was a late scratch from the lineup Friday. Whether he gets back in or not today will be a game-time decision, but the Bruins’ lineup is definitely deeper than it was earlier this season. Adding Taylor Hall at the deadline was huge, as he has six points in seven games since joining the Bruins and gives them a legitimate secondary scoring line.

With Pittsburgh having not played quality competition in weeks, there a good chance the Bruins can jump ahead early and dictate the pace of the game. If you believe they can win the game, give yourself lbetter value on that bet by picking the to first goal and win combo.

Bets We Like Independent of Outcome

Bruins to WIN and UNDER 6 goals (+240, DraftKings)

Oh, the difference that half puck makes when you can parlay an alternate line. Both of these teams have been playing good hockey lately, it’s just that Boston has been a little more impressive, especially with guys coming back from injury and recent additions at the trade deadline.

There’s something to be said for playing better competition, and although the Bruins’ last three games came against Buffalo, their three wins before that came against the Islanders and Washington. Victories that saw them outscore those teams by  13-4 margin.

We think that gives Boston the slight edge, especially early on, in what is an evenly matched game. Since most of the games between these teams are low-scoring, we like the under no matter what, but teasing it up to six goals protects your bet with a push if that ends up being the total.

If you’re looking to add value, keep the over/under at 5.5 and get this same bet at +280 (DraftKings).

Bruins vs. Penguins Prediction

These next two games should have a playoff feel, and we’re looking for Boston to come away with a victory in the first matchup.

Pick: Bruins 3, Penguins 2

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Anthony SanFilippo has covered the NHL for more than two decades. Based in Philadelphia, he has worked for newspapers, magazines, websites, sports blogs, and even a professional NHL team.

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