Penguins
Grading Penguins Start to Free Agency, Off-Season

Some general managers have gone to market, wallet full and eyes longing. A Stanley Cup is just one or two moves away if they can simply unlock the aetherial, if not magic, formula to maximize their team with another couple of players who add that extra spark. And then there are the Pittsburgh Penguins, who are nibbling at the edges of the buffet like disinterested party guests.
In a great sense, the Penguins are disinterested. They have no need or want for the big-name free agents. To sign one now would be to impede the most important offseason since 2005. A few more wins now are not going to help the great revamp. Or rebuild. Or retool. Or whatever you want to call it. And when the team is finally ready to truly compete for a Stanley Cup, the 28 or 29-year-old they signed today would be on the downside of his career.
Another note regarding the Penguins’ strategy, in two years, almost the entire roster will turn over as only four players are currently under contract, including soon-to-be 38-year-old Kris Letang and defenseman Ryan Graves, who is currently fighting for a roster spot.
In short, Penguins general manager Kyle Dubas is setting up for a great renewal–just not yet.
So, the grading scale of the Penguins’ 2025-26 offseason is much different than two years ago, and likely dramatically different from what it will be in two years.
Early Penguins Offseason Grade: B
Dubas has methodically executed his plan. When the players that he and the scouting staff liked. Those who were worthy of the No. 11 pick were largely picked over, Dubas turned disappointment into opportunity by trading down out of the No. 12 pick and getting Nos. 22 and 31. Then, using a second-rounder to swap the No. 31 pick for No. 24.
Those extra picks became the ox-like centerman Bill Zonnon and the raw Will Horcoff.
Since none of the 2025 picks are likely to make the NHL roster in the fall, the free agents will have a clean ramp to the roster. Each signing has been purposeful and appropriate.
However, have the Penguins signed too many players who are currently borderline NHLers? There are currently 15 NHL forwards on the roster, not counting prospects Ville Koivunen, who will presumably make the show, and Tristan Broz, whom Dubas said wanted to call up at the end of last season.
It is quite clear that trades are coming.
Read More: Dubas Sets up Penguins Trade Strategy; One New Challenge
The difference between an A and a B grade that we delivered has less to do with what Dubas has done and more to do with a few players that Dubas missed. We’re specifically citing a few non-tendered RFAs, such as Arthur Kaliyev and Jacob Pelletier, who signed with Ottawa and Tampa Bay, respectively. Defenseman Zac Jones was another intriguing non-tendered RFA who signed elsewhere. Jones is somewhat in the mold of Matt Grzelcyk, who could run a power play and adequately defend.
Missing on those risky RFAs who very well might wash out with new teams, but are no less qualified than Philip Tomasino, whom the Penguins re-signed, was a miss.
It’s also very important to note that just because a player signed elsewhere does NOT mean the Penguins didn’t try. Players also get a say, you know?
Defense
The Penguins’ free agent signings started small with Parker Wortherspoon, a perfectly average depth defenseman capable of third-pairing minutes. Wotherspoon skates well and makes a solid first pass–his signing is very much akin to finding Ryan Shea, but Wortherspoon has more NHL experience.
One of the best signings of the Penguins’ offseason was Alexander Alexeyev, formerly of the Washington Capitals. Coach Spencer Carbery served him a steady diet of press box nachos, and Alexeyev played only eight games in the regular season, but 10 playoff games. It’s an all-reward, no-risk signing as the Penguins need lefty defensemen, and they need someone to guard the net.
Alexeyev may or may not fit the Penguins’ needs. He’s not overly physical, but he’s 6-foot-5, 220 pounds and does play a tough game in the battle zones. He will join Connor Clifton as players on the blue line who can make life less enjoyable for opponents.
Dubas also snagged Seth Jones’s brother, Caleb Jones. Caleb is more physical than Seth, but has played 51 or more NHL games in a season just twice. He’s likely ticketed for Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, but given the number of depth defensemen competing for the roster spots, he has a reasonable chance to play under the NHL lights.
Dubas has done well to bolster the defense with no-risk moves. At worst, the Penguins are no worse (which isn’t very good), but if he finds one diamond in the rough, the Penguins will have a player to lean on for a long time.
And that’s the point of this offseason.
Forwards
Anthony Mantha headlines the group. Two seasons ago, he netted 23 goals split between Washington and Vegas, but he tore his ACL last Nov. 5 and missed the rest of the 2024-25 season. If the best-case scenario unfolds, the Penguins will pay Mantha $4.5 million, including $2 million in incentives.
If it goes bust, as it has at other points in Mantha’s career, Fenway Sports Group is out $2.5 million, but there will have been no harm nor foul to the team.
Perhaps the signing isn’t what PHN would have done, but it clearly sets up a Rickard Rakell trade and statistically will cost the Penguins a few wins–which improves their draft stock. Getting a good draft pick or picks in 2026 is part of the goal.
The other questionable forward signing was re-upping Philip Tomasino. The forward had a burst of offense after he first arrived from Nashville, but he largely struggled with putting forth a complete game. The layers and details of Tomasino’s game were soft, though all involved lauded him for the effort to reset his game to fill the role of a middle-six winger more adequately.
He’s getting a second chance at $1.75 million, though overhauling one’s game is no easy task. He was disappointing in a second-line role, but perhaps new coaches and a third chance will be the charm.
Beyond the debatable headline signings are the under-the-radar signings for which Dubas deserves credit.
Justin Brazeau, 27, is tailor-made for this Penguins situation. He’s a big forward at 6-foot-6, 227 pounds who doesn’t mind going to the net. Don’t be fooled by the tale of the tape; he’s not a bruiser or raucously physical player. In fact, he’s been somewhat generic to this point in his career. However, in 50 games with the Boston Bruins last season, he netted 10 goals with 10 assists–nearly the same tallies as Tomasino, but in much less ice time and a lower line role.
Brazeau went ice cold after Boston traded him to Minnesota, and he had just two points (1-1-2) in 19 games. Still, Dubas was happy to tout that the Penguins’ development staff helped Joona Koppanen get 12% more from his skating–if they can do similar things for Brazeau, being a consistent third-line winger and PP2 net-front presence. It’s the perfect long-range signing for a team with space and time to develop borderline NHL players.
Connor Dewar was the other former Penguins RFA-turned-UFA-turned-Penguins forward to sign a one-year deal. Dewar was spunky in his short stint with the Penguins after they acquired him and Conor Timmins at the trade deadline, even getting some time on the second line during a little offensive hot streak.
Dewar is a gritty small forward quite capable of bottom-line minutes and penalty killing. If he gets squeezed out of a roster spot by a prospect, the Penguins will welcome him to the Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins, and he’ll probably be quickly recalled as injuries occur.
The Trade
Dubas dealt goalie Alex Nedeljkovic to the San Jose Sharks for a 2028 third-round pick. On the surface, it’s a backup goalie to a goalie-desperate team for the perfectly acceptable market price.
Deeper than the superficial acknowledgement, it was clearing a space for one of the Penguins’ young goalies, be it Joel Blomqvist, Sergei Murashov, or even Filip Larsson, to grab the spot.
Blomqvist struggled mightily in the NHL during what was supposed to be his arrival party in January, but he is just 23 years old. There’s more development ahead, and by removing Nedeljkovic, Dubas has dangled the golden opportunity in front of all of his goaltenders at the start of the offseason.
Whoever claims the net will have earned it. The trade was little more than a future asset, but in reality, it was a call to the goalie department–one of them will make the NHL.
Of course, this grade is little more than the first test of the semester. The big moves in the form of future-changing trades are yet to come
Yeah, Kaliyev would have been nice. Signed in Ottawa 3 year league minimum and the first year is a 2 way contract. Thought he was a perfect candidate for a coaching staff focusing on player development.
Dubas still has a lot of ammunition to add futures in the next year. They’ve got lots of cap room, and will have more once EK/Rust/Rakell get moved out. With all three retention spots available, they should weaponize those. Karlsson, for example, at $5M would have real value on the trade market. Not a single reason for the Pens not retain the maximum to maximize the return. Same deal with Rust/Rakell…..if their value is sky-high at full boat, imagine their value at $2.5M. Between the retention value and the ability to simply take on bad contracts from another team, Dubas… Read more »
I’m not seeing 67 or 17 being moved with retention.
They would not NEED to retain. But the trade value of either would increase further if they did. And are they really going to need that cap space in the next three years? Unlikely.
Agreed. There contract values are team-friendly.
They should reserve one of three retention slots for Jarry. I could see a swap for Skinner and 2026 2nd round pick-EDM (and/or a prospect KD likes) for Jarry w/ 50% RS. The money being swapped would be just about even. To move EK’s contract they’ll have to retain something, maybe half (50% or 5 mil would be significant, but should increase the return). May even have to get a third team involved to retain an additional 50% (2.5 mil) to move EK to a contending club with space being so tight. That leaves one retention slot open.
Don’t think you can get a third. Only allowed to be retained twice. Since San Jose retained some and Pittsburgh would be the second, you can’t retain anymore.
I believe you’re correct. Makes it challenging but doable. I’m sure there are a few teams that would be interested in EK65 at 5 mil, but there’s probably going to be unwanted salary headed back to PIT.
Dan, with respect to your comment that getting a good draft pick or picks in 2026 is part of GMKD’s goal, are you saying that losing games is actually part of GMKD’s strategy for the 2026 season? Getting a good draft pick is the consequence of losing games, not the goal. I can’t believe that GMKD intends for the Penguins to lose even one game in order to improve our draft/lottery position. If the Penguins simply stink and lose lots of games on merit then fine; they get a good draft pick because that’s the way the system is designed.… Read more »
It should be his goal if he were smart.
Why would a smart GM make losing games part of his goal?
Who would want to be part of that team?
A good draft pick is to compensate for losing games not to incentivize it. Who would go to PPG to watch the games if the goal was to lose?
No one is actually going to TRY to lose per se. Sid will do what he does and the team will win just enough games to be one of the worst in the league. The roster is setting up to be a losing team, though. So take that for what you will.
And, at the time of this writing, there are 9 UFAs slated for the end of the upcoming season for the Penguins. By design.
Jeff,
so the bridge between having 9 UFAs at the end of the season by design and losing games by design is that the 9 UFAs are presumably so mediocre that their level of play will inevitably cause the team to lose games it otherwise would have won so as to qualify for a better draft pick?
That’s GMKD’s plan? Interesting strategy 🧐 .
Does GMKD know about this?
Just kidding!!!
🙂 Nah, those two things aren’t *necessarily* related. What I was pointing out is how, at this point, there’ll be lots of cap space to use for the following season. Of course, that assumes that number of UFAs doesn’t change. That said, a player like Hayes doesn’t really tell you the team wants to win now, does it?
Jeff, I’m clearly way too naive for this rebuilding thing or whatever it’s called. I just can’t believe that people would attend games this upcoming season if they suspected that GMKD’s plan included purposeful losing regardless of how elaborately the losing was disguised as part of some greater agenda to “rebuild”. It’s inconceivable to me that Sidney Crosby would tolerate a strategy that implicitly included a lose now approach premised on the idea that maybe the Penguins might possibly get the first draft choice. I repeat, getting a higher draft choice is the consequence of losing games not the goal.… Read more »
🙂 So I think the discussion is around the term “purposeful”. GMKD has to bring in younger talent he thinks could, perhaps, be useful in the short term. As well, as we’ve already seen, he’s brought in some questionable players relatively recently with attached picks he’s just used (for the most part). I don’t think anyone believes a Kevin Hayes or Cody Glass were going to get the team anywhere near the Cup (or playoffs). Heck, rumor has it that Luke Schenn told GMKD he wasn’t going to play for PGH (imagine that). With no (player) assets to trade, there’s… Read more »
Jeff,
1.) Thank you for taking the time to thoughtfully explain the process.
2.) If the rebuilding process is as benign as you suggest then I’m with you.
3.) Separately I’ll mildly suggest to Dan that conflating “goal” with “consequence” or even “result” when talking about getting a high draft choice generates unnecessary ambiguity as it’s more than mere semantics when one is talking about losing games.
I think that while losing games may have a positive outcome in terms of a draft pick it’s never a “goal”.
Again, Happy 4th to all!
Good draft picks are pointless with this gm. He’ll just trade them for more even lower picks
Fair enough grade, and I write a long enough comment on the previous column you wrote but before I hit the sun it button the page refreshed and the whole thing was erased…. Hopefully the crazy people reading these articles get it and understand what’s going on and stop the bad comments.
67 would have been traded already. He is staying put. No rumblings or chatter about him being moved this summer.
The following is intended as a joke:
Has 67 gotten the memo that the goal this season is losing games so as to get a better draft choice?
I think kd is letting them settle after both had newborns this summer. They will more then likely be traded, but I don’t think it will be asap. There is no rush. Maybe even all the way to trade deadline. Someone will be more then willing to drop a late 1st rounder next year to get a 30 goal scorer with term on a 5mil deal.
With or without 65, 17 or 67, the pens will have no problem losing games, so KD won’t need to plan that out.
Zero complaints thus far….The biggest piece is yet to come.
The sad reality is this: Duby will have to PAY somebody to take his players in order to get anything of value in return.
Besides maybe Pickering, our entire left defense is made up of of 6th/7th defensemen(Shea, Kolychonok, Wotherspoon, Alexeyev, Graves).The other problem is when you add in Aho, unless someone is bought out or waived there will be no room for Pieniniemi in WBS.
My bad, at his age I think he(Pieniniemi) either has to play in NHL or juniors, similar to Brunicke.
Regardless of what everyone says or wants…I really like what Dubas has done in Free agency….if Mantha preforms he becomes a trade chip, maybe Alexeev is part of the future Defense.
Don’t skew things. The talent wasn’t picked over at 11. Aitcheson and Eklund were there. Dubas just chose to go off script then trade down for bodies. He’s proven to be a manager who incredulously builds from the bottom up, steering clear of the sure thing for extra assets who may or may not make it
You’re certainly entitled to an opinion on Dubas and advocate against his trade that cost them Aitcheson or Jackson Smith, but don’t accuse me of skewing things. The talent they liked that was top-10 worthy was indeed gone. That’s Jake O’Brien, Brady Martin, Roger McQueen, and even Radim Mrtka. No one put Aitcheson in the top 10.
4 days late: I just saw a video of a 7/3/25 talk show including Nick Kypreos again predicting Sid is going to leave our flightless birds for a better chance at winning before he retires. The one hyperbolic argument Mr. Kypreos made is that Sid staying in Pittsburgh to “babysit” the new players rather than competing for another SC would be a disservice to the NHL as Sid is still a “peak” player. Personally I’ve put Crosby at the Roberto Clemente level which means the category above elite/ generational, etc. However, I’m interested in the thoughts/consensus on PHN as to… Read more »