Mock Drafts & PHN Projections: Penguins Could Have ‘BIG’ Night
The 2025 NHL Draft begins in less than 36 hours, but the picture painted by the final mock drafts regarding who might be available to the Pittsburgh Penguins is only slightly less muddled than string theory on a seventh-grade algebra education.
Early in the week, it appeared the Penguins would be robbed of the chance to select a center, instead settling for one of the defensemen who highlight the second tier of the draft. However, things shifted again over the last couple of days as intel, information, and misinformation leaks.
Instead of one of the centers, could the Penguins get one of the best wingers in the draft? Could Jake O’Brien lose his recently acquired top-six pick projection and fall all the way back to the Penguins?
Read More: Penguins Draft Prospects Scouting & Analysis Page.
If the latest mock drafts are to be believed, both situations are possible. Barring trades, a few teams directly in front of the Penguins could veer off the previously established map and select one of the defensemen projected in the 10-15 range, and such selections would further drop talent like O’Brien, or even James Hagens, who is suddenly the subject of a lot of chatter.
It’s probably misinformation, perhaps from a team hoping to shake another team’s confidence in him so that he drops a few spots or a team hoping to inflate the trade value of their pick.
It’s the Draft, and anything goes.
Mock Drafts
Sam Cosentino’s Mock Draft for Sportsnet might excite Penguins fans. Cosentino predicted Seattle Kraken will select Radim Mrtka at No. 8 and Buffalo will take Justin Carbonneau at No. 9. That flip both dropped Hagens to Anaheim at No. 10, then O’Brien to Penguis at No. 11.
Cosentino also projected Victor Eklund at No. 12.
This is probably the best case scenario for the Penguins, walking away with one of the best centers in the draft, O’Brien, and one of the best wingers, Eklund.
Cosentino Mock Draft:
- Islanders: Matthew Schaefer
- Sharks: Anton Frondell
- Blackhawks: Michael Misa
- Mammoth: Porter Martone
- Predators: Roger McQueen
- Flyers: Caleb Desnoyers
- Bruins: Brady Martin
- Kraken: Radim Mrtka
- Sabres: Justin Carbonneau
- Ducks: James Hagens
- Penguins: Jake O’Brien
- Penguins: Victor Eklund
PHN Thoughts: Carbonneau leaping into the top 10 is a difficult projection. We’ll respectfully disagree, but there is some merit as Buffalo has plenty of young centers, and took the small Zach Benson 13th overall in 2023. It does make sense to select Carbonneau, a bigger winger, but it’s still a bit of a leap. We’re also dubious the talent-poor Kraken would pass on players like O’Brien and Eklund.
Button Mock Draft:
TSN’s Craig Button has a more stable mock draft that resembles the recent trends without big changes. Button also has one of the centers falling to the Penguins, and his algorithm is predicated on Hagens going to Nashville at No. 5.
However, Button thinks Brady Martin will be the big riser in the ’25 draft.
Unlike Cosentino, in Button’s mock draft, Hagens didn’t fall, but Roger McQueen, the 6-foot-5 center with soft hands and surprising speed, did. Button also projects a thumper defenseman to the Penguins at No. 12.
- Islanders: Matthew Schaefer
- Sharks: Michael Misa
- Blackhawks: Anton Frondell
- Mammoth: Brady Martin
- Predators: James Hagens
- Flyers: Porter Martone
- Bruins: Caleb Desnoyers
- Kraken: Radim Mrtka
- Sabres: Jake O’Brien
- Ducks: Jackson Smith
- Penguins: Roger McQueen
- Penguins: Kashawn Aitecheson
PHN Thoughts: Notice that Button projected the Penguins to pass on Eklund, instead selecting physical defenseman Kashawn Aitcheson. It’s an interesting idea that has some merit. This would be a classic decision: Needs vs. Best Available. Eklund would be the best available, and this is the type of decision that creates draft table fights.
Like Cosentino, Button’s mock draft should make the Penguins quite happy.
ESPN Mock Draft by Rachel Doerrie:
Doerrie put together a unique mock draft that veered off the map, especially for the Penguins. Would the Penguins really pass up Brady Martin if he were available? Doerrie is an analytics expert and peppered her analysis with advanced projections.
- Islanders: Matthew Schaefer
- Sharks: Michael Misa
- Blackhawks: James Hagens
- Mammoth: Porter Martone
- Predators: Anton Frondell
- Flyers: Roger McQueen
- Bruins: Caleb Desnoyers
- Kraken: Jackson Smith
- Sabres: Jake O’Brien
- Ducks: Victor Eklund
- Penguins: Carter Bear
- Penguins: Radim Mrtka
PHN Thoughts: Bear is a prospect we have not yet previewed, but he’s a high hockey-IQ player who projects to the wing. Doerrie dropped Martin to 13th in her draft model, but our belief is that if Martin is available, expect Penguins GM Kyle Dubas to leap at the chance to select him. Bear would be a nice consolation prize if all of the centers are off the board, and he is a bit of a Dubas-type player because of his heady play at both ends of the ice, and he’s got a bit of physicality, too.
We think Doerrie had it spot on until passing on Martin.
EDIT: We were informed that JFresh’s mock draft was not in earnest and contained a few prank picks. We removed it.
PHN Mock Draft, 1-12
- Islanders: Matthew Schaefer
- Sharks: Michael Misa
- Blackhawks: Anton Frondell
- Mammoth: Caleb Desnoyers
- Predators: Brady Martin
- Flyers: Porter Martone
- Bruins: James Hagens
- Kraken: Jake O’Brien
- Sabres: Kashawn Aitecheson
- Ducks: Victor Eklund
- Penguins: Roger McQueen
- Penguins: Jackson Smith
Reasons: We selected Smith over Mrtka because of one factor: Mrtka is good at everything but great at nothing. His high floor should be attractive to teams, but the Penguins have both the time and space to gamble on getting a better player. Smith might be better than Mrtka, or he might not be–we’re taking the risk on getting a speedy defenseman who likes the puck.
Marcus Pettersson types are quite valuable, but they’re also somewhat affordable.
With McQueen, the Penguins get their center, too. We’ve previewed McQueen, and there is a lot to like. He needs to clean up a few areas of his game, notably his bad habit of gliding. Fortunately for him, when you’re that tall, gliding still carries speed. His offensive acumen and ability to get around defensemen with a quick step or a shoulder dip, as well as distribute the puck, make him a no-brainer at No. 11.
We’ve been surprised that most mock drafts do not have the Kraken taking a center, especially when there are a couple who project as solid No. 2 centers, if not average top liners. The Sabres and Ducks have young talent. What they lack are the spices and proper complements of a winning team, so it would make more sense for one of them to snag Aitcheson and Eklund, who is a spunky winger with a scoring touch.
We also can’t imagine Hagens falling below No. 7, though if the Penguins want to create scenarios in which a center drops to them, it wouldn’t be hard to leak their interest in Smith, Mrtka, or Aitcheson and half-heartedly try to trade up for one of them.
Categorized:NHL Draft Penguins Penguins Prospects Pittsburgh Penguins
Mock drafts are all over the place. Impossible to predict.
Drafts are not impossible to predict; even i can do it and already have: Eklund at 11 & and Aitchenson at 12.
However you are pretty close to correct in saying that drafts are “impossible” to predict correctly. Just kidding 😉😉
Semantics hahaha.
I’d love for them to get one of the centers and grab Aitcheson.If ever a team needed a skillset like his,its the Pens..
How do they get those three draftees with only two first round picks??
Button’s mock of McQueen and Aitcheson would be my dream draft. What an infusion of size and physicality that would be!
I agree with that. Although, i will not be upset no matter who they draft. I feel like they really can’t miss with most of these guys in the top 15.
Oh, yeah. I’ll take “Button Draft” for $200, Alex!
Button’s draft is my pick for sure! PHN second. Gotta take McQ if he is still there. And Aitcheson is like having a nuke on the back end. Bonus; he did score 26 goals in junior, double of most “offensive” minded defensemen in this years draft.
If I had to pick one, it would be Cosentino’s, followed by Fresh, although I feel Doerrie will be the closest to what happens. Those 2 most likely will be there when the Pens pick.
1-3: in order should be Schaefer, Misa, Frondell – anyone who says otherwise is tripping.
4-7: are pretty interchangeable between Desnoyers, Martone, Martin, and Hagens
8-9: Kraken/Sabres will take Mrtka while the other grabs O’Brien
10: Should take best available between McQueen and Eklund but could throw a curveball by taking Smith/Aitcheson
Pens at 11-12: Choice of Smith/Aitcheson (or whichever one is left) and then choice between McQueen/Eklund/Bear (whoever is left)
I’d be elated if McQueen, Hagens, Mrtka, O’Brien, or any of the other top 10 prospects fell, but regardless, the Pens should end up with 2 quality prospects.
Your draft makes the most sense for the other teams and how things should go, but I like the others because it gets us maybe better players. I just hope we don’t try to trade them both for a higher pick. If we wan to trade up a few spots then include a player or later picks.
Free EK65. Dude has suffered enough here.
There you are!
J. Press seems most credible to me, meaning the Pens get neither Aitcheson or Mrkta (D’s I want), but take two Centers.
Mrkta is a big body, but watching him play, he looks lost. Aitcheson on the other hand is a beast. He has a hard shot skates very well with good edge work and has Ulfie like ability to catch someone in open ice and flatten them as well as teach the other team’s enforcer to stay on the bench if they try to retaliate against him on clean hits. Aitcheson may have the most impact (pun intended) in this draft.
So, I agree with you 100% on Aitcheson
O’Brien is slow and weak on the puck. Every game I have seen him play, he gets got from behind in the neutral zone by back pressure and they strip of the puck at least twice, often four or five times. His stride is so short and choppy, he has to take three strides to some one else’s one. He can have all the hockey IQ in the world but if he can’t get to the point of attack with the puck it doesn’t mean anything, particularly if he is the Center. In this draft, there really is a dearth… Read more »
Sounds a lot like Sam Poulin. It was said his skating would come around but it never really did!
Pierre McGuire was on Madden and he was very high on Brady Martin. I’ve seen him mocked as high as 6. Might be too good to pass up!