On Thursday night, the Pittsburgh Penguins will play host to their most hated rival – the Philadelphia Flyers, at the PPG Paints Arena. The Flyers are 5-2-1, while the Penguins are 3-3-2, having lost three straight in regulation after earning at least a point in their first five games. This is the first meeting of the season between the Metropolitan Division rivals.
Let’s get into our Penguins vs. Flyers betting pick with player prop predictions, odds, and analysis for this November 4 2021 matchup.
The Penguins need a timeout. Really. The season started with injuries to Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin before even one puck was dropped. Then, Bryan Rust went down with a lower body injury. They lost Kris Letang briefly. Then, Jeff Carter entered the COVID-19 protocol. He came back, along with Crosby, who made his season debut in the Penguins last game. But now, Crosby is out again, as he tested positive for COVID-19 and is also symptomatic. So, he’ll be gone at least 10 days.
But it’s not just Crosby. Three of their six starting defensemen – Brian Dumolin, Macus Pettersson and Chad Ruhwadel also entered the COVID-19 protocol and are unavailable tonight.
When it rains, it pours.
The Flyers won’t be feeling sorry for their rivals and will look to take advantage of their shorthandedness. Philadelphia is coming off a 3-0 shutout of hapless Arizona, righting the ship after being blanked themselves in their previous game by Calgary.
Captain Claude Giroux (5-5-10) and former Selke Trophy winner Sean Couturier (4-7-11) are leading the way for the Flyers offensively, while new addition Cam Atkinson (six goals) has sparked the scoring touch on the Flyers second line.
Also of note for Philadelphia, goalie Carter Hart looks to have put his disastrous 2020-21 season behind him and is off to a solid 3-2-1 start with a 2.33 goals against average.
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Penguins vs. Flyers Odds
Here are the lines for Penguins vs. Flyers at FanDuel Sportsbook:
Spread: Penguins (-1.5 +205), Flyers (+1.5 -255)
Moneyline: Penguins (-125), Flyers (+110)
Over/Under: Over 6 (-110), Under 6 (-110)
Bets We Like with a Flyers Win
Flyers the first team to reach three goals (+130, BetMGM)
While the Flyers offense hasn’t been really sound of late – They only have five goals in their last three games and Couturier and Giroux have four of them – it’s hard to think they won’t be able to take advantage of a depleted Penguins blue line in this game. The Penguins aren’t a great defensive team to begin with and now they will have to roll out three brand new pairings against a team that likes to push the play and the pace. Even though they’re the road team the Flyers should be able to take advantage of most line matchups as well as the Penguins are bereft of centers too.
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Bets We Like with a Penguins Win
Penguins to win the first period(+160, FanDuel Sportsbook)
The Penguins are going to have a tough go tonight missing so many players and the Flyers mostly healthy. But, if there’s anything we learned about the Penguins this season so far, it’s that when you think they are overmatched, o don’t have a sot against a specific team, they come up huge. If they’re going to do that, winning the first period will be critical.
The Flyers have only trailed after one period once this season, and lost the game. In fact, the Flyers are not a very good “come-from-behind” team when looking purely at results. So far, this season, the Flyers have only trailed at any point in three games and lost all three of them (0-2-1).
If Pittsburgh can jump on them early, even if it’s only 1-0, it’ll make it that much harder for the Flyers to get back in front, as evidenced by their games this season with Vancouver, Florida and Calgary.
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Bets We Like Independent of Outcome
Over 6 goals (-110, DraftKings Sportsbook)
We already outlined the Penguins defensive woes, now throw into the mix this whacky trend, and this looks like a good bet: Each of the Flyers last seven games at PPG Paints arena following a win have gone over the total goals. Not only that, the Penguins and Flyers do have a history of high scoring affairs. In fact, four of their last five games against one another have resulted in at least seven goals being scored. When rivals renew pleasantries, this tends to lead to lots of goals too. Ride the over.
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Penguins vs. Flyers Prediction
There is no doubt the Penguins will play hard in this game. We just don’t know how they out play the Flyers for 60 minutes with such a lopsided matchup talent wise. Give this one to Philadelphia.
Prediction: Flyers 5, Penguins 3.
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