On Saturday night, the Pittsburgh Penguins (6-6-4) will try to put two wins together for the first time this season when they travel to ScotiaBank Arena to take on the red hot Toronto Maple Leafs (12-5-1). Toronto has won five straight and 10-of-11, riding the sensational goaltending of late-bloomer Jack Campbell, who is 10-3-1 with a 1.63 GAA and an incredible .944 save percentage through 15 games.
Let’s get into our Penguins vs. Maple Leafs betting pick with player prop predictions, odds, and analysis for this November 20, 2021 matchup.
Penguins-Maple Leafs Preview
The Penguins followed captain Sidney Crosby’s lead both on the ice and off it and played a more desperate and determined game when they shout out Montreal Thursday 6-0. Crosby scored his first goal of the season and the team played their best 60 minutes in quite some time to snap a three-gam losing skid.
But if they want to keep the good tidings going though, they’re going to have to find a way to slow down the Maple Leaf steamroller that has been as good as any team in the NHL for the past three weeks.
Toronto has four star forwards and all of them are rolling right now, lead by Auston Matthews who has seven points in the last five games. Toronto is also winning the specialty teams battle on most nights with the NHL’s fifth-ranked power play and the fourth-ranked penalty kill.
But it all comes down to Campbell at the moment for Toronto, as he has three shutouts already and is proving to be a difficult puzzle to solve for the opposition.
The good news for the Penguins is they are chock full of scoring depth. The question though is, can they find a way to beat Campbell? And can they get the NHL’s worst power play going now that Crosby is back and healthy? They were able to score one with the man advantage against Montreal in their only opportunity.
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Penguins vs. Maple Leafs Odds
Here are the lines for Penguins vs. Maple Leafs at FanDuel Sportsbook:
Spread: Penguins (+1.5 -188), Maple Leafs (-1.5 +152)
Moneyline: Penguins (+138), Maple Leafs (-166)
Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-108), Under 5.5 (-112)
Bets We Like with a Penguins Win
Sidney Crosby to score at least one goal (+220, DraftKings Sportsbook)
Sidney Crosby got his team to respond to his comments about a need for better play in Montreal. He’s going to need to be the leader on the ice for them to win this game in Toronto. Crosby is a playmaker first and a goal scorer second, but he’s always had the knack to come up biggest in the most important moments, and there’s nothing like playing an important game on a Saturday night in Toronto. There’s good value on this bet – even if the Penguins ultimately don’t win.
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Bets We Like with a Maple Leafs Win
Maple Leafs to win the first period (+140, FanDuel Sportsbook)
This is where we believe this game will be won and lost. If Toronto gets a lead, they are difficult to come back on because of Campbell, if they get behind, they have to start to push the envelope, and they get more susceptible defensively. We like Toronto in this contest, so we think they come away leading after one – and there’s decent odds here that they will.
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Bets We Like Independent of Outcome
Mitch Marner to score at least one goal (+180, BetMGM)
The Maple Leafs have been carried by their top four forwards during this winning streak, so we expect them to continue to be the go-to scorers in this game. Marner has the best odds of the four of them… and he’s due. He only has one goal in his last five games. We like him to be the man in this one.
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Penguins vs. Maple Leafs Prediction
We think the Penguins will give Toronto a game – a good one too. We’re pretty confident this will be a close contest – a one-goal game – and maybe one that slinks into overtime or a shootout. But we think Toronto pulls it out in the end.
Prediction: Maple Leafs 3, Penguins 2
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