On Wednesday night, the Pittsburgh Penguins (10-7-5) look to get back into the win column after dropping their second straight Monday. They’ll have a tough task as they have to try to snap the small skid against the Edmonton Oilers (15-5-0), at Rogers Place. It’s the first of two meetings between the teams this season.
Let’s get into our Penguins vs. Oilers betting pick with player prop predictions, odds, and analysis for this December 1, 2021 matchup.
Right now, Tristan Jarry is carrying the Penguins. Their No. 1 goaltender keeps them in almost every game he starts and has won every game Pittsburgh has won this season. His 1.85 goals against average ranks third in the NHL among qualifying goalies while his .938 save percentage is tied for second in the league.
Pittsburgh’s offense has been up and down all season. It goes through stretches where it’s very fruitful and then it goes through stretches where it struggles mightily. The latter has been the case more recently as the Penguins have been held to two goals or fewer in five of their last nine games.
Meanwhile, Edmonton continues to thrive based on the incredible offensive production of Leon Draisaitl (40 points) and Connor McDavid (36 points) through 20 games. Draisaitl is averaging one goal and one assist in each game. The Oilers power play is truly lethal. It’s the top unit in the NHL and it scores on 37.7% of its opportunities.
Because of that, Edmonton is scoring 3.75 goals per game, second-best in the NHL.
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Penguins vs. Oilers Odds
Here are the lines for Penguins vs. Oilers at FanDuel Sportsbook:
Spread: Penguins (+1.5 -235), Oilers (-1.5 +186)
Moneyline: Penguins (+106), Oilers (-128)
Over/Under: Over 6.5 (+100), Under 6.5 (-122)
Bets We Like with a Penguins Win
Penguins to score four or more goals (+150, BetMGM)
This is simple math. If the Penguins are going to beat the Oilers, they’re going to have to put the puck in the net four times. Jarry has been great, but he’s not faced this offense yet this season. We still think Jarry will have a great game, but to guarantee a win, the Penguins will have to score with frequency. The one weakness Edmonton has is goaltending and defense. They do allow 2.95 goals per game. Mikko Koskinen is 11-2-0 in goal, but he’s winning with a 2.89 goals against average and a .912 save percentage, which are pedestrian numbers. Pittsburgh has the talent to score with Edmonton. Not to mention, the Penguins have won each of their last six games as underdogs after coming off a shootout. Improve the money line value by taking the Penguins to score four goals.
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Bets We Like with an Oilers Win
Oilers to win and OVER 5.5 goals (+250, FanDuel Sportsbook)
We think this is a high-scoring affair. The Oilers will have to keep pace with the Penguins who are going to bring it offensively. We know they can and will as well. Seven of the Oilers’ last eight home games have gone OVER the total goals line. This bet lowers that over/under line by a goal – call it the Jarry effect – and still gets you value on an Edmonton win. Take this parlay and run with it.
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Bets We Like Independent of Outcome
Either team to score two or more goals in the first period (+135, DraftKings Sportsbook)
Like we said earlier: High scoring, fast tempo from jump street, and a first period that we think will dictate the outcome. Whoever wins this period will win the game, regardless we think there are multiple goals here to start the game.
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Penguins vs. Oilers Prediction
We like upsets around the NHL today, and this is another one. Pittsburgh finds it’s scoring touch. Edmonton scores, but not enough. Maybe an empty-netter in there to boot.
Prediction: Penguins 5, Oilers 3
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