Penguins Report Cards: Johnson, Gudbranson and the Controversy | Pittsburgh Hockey Now
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Penguins Report Cards: Johnson, Gudbranson and the Controversy

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Jack Johnson Erik Gudbranson Pittsburgh Penguins
Jack Johnson Erik Gudbranson Pittsburgh Penguins

Hell hath no fury like the Twitterverse when an object of scorn does not acquiesce. Pittsburgh Penguins defensemen Jack Johnson and Erik Gudbranson were the targets of never-ending criticism and confusion. Gudbranson who was acquired from Vancouver at the trade deadline admitted struggles as fans in western Canada highlighted those deficiencies. Meanwhile, Johnson was blamed by Penguins Twitter for everything from Phil Kessel’s down year to the rushed final season of Game of Thrones.

Johnson was the guilty party because of poor analytics before the season began and Gudbranson was guilty before his plane landed in Pittsburgh.

And a funny thing happened, as the Penguins tightened their game beginning with the Stadium Series Game on Feb. 23 and finishing with the final game of the regular season, the controversial defensemen started to receive praise. Especially Gudbranson received good tidings as he was immediately good with the Penguins and did not falter.

After so much was invested in proving Johnson’s fallibility, acceptance proved harder but was there was much after the defenseman rallied with solid play in the second half. Johnson’s plus/minus stat eventually finished at minus-4, which was worlds better than the negative 17 which he achieved in the first half of the season.

(and yes, yes, plus/minus isn’t a perfect stat, but as a cumulative stat, it does have some weight).

The Penguins defense as a whole provided less offense in the final two months of the season because much of it was played with Kris Letang but the unit provided a higher level of play than any Penguins corps has in several years. The March of the Penguins II built on defensive stinginess; Johnson and Gudbranson were significant parts of that.

Jack Johnson and Erik Gudbranson Report Cards

Jack Johnson: C+

This is a groupthink free zone. Johnson is a defensive defenseman whose strengths were physicality and keeping the net front clear. In those areas, Johnson was successful. He was very successful in those endeavors, actually.

Johnson pounded opponents with 233 hits and blocked 147 shots. Both stats led the Penguins. Coaches also let it be known they felt Johnson was often their best penalty killer.

For the open-minded, Johnson was very good in his own zone.

However, Johnson provided almost painfully little offensive push. The last two seasons have been Johnson’s worst offensive years. Just three seasons ago, Johnson poured 40 points (8g, 32a) for Columbus. This season, he scored just 13 points including only one goal.

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Penguins coaches Mike Sullivan and Jacques Martin elected to keep the left-handed Johnson on the right side for most of the season. Johnson’s contributions were limited by the right side angles. After watching Brian Dumoulin excel on the right side late in the season, hindsight shows it was a mistake to let Johnson languish on the right.

Until Johnson flipped to the left when Justin Schultz returned in mid-February, opponents took advantage of Johnson on his backhand by aggressively forechecking the defenseman. Opponents forced Johnson to chip pucks off the glass to alleviate pressure but that tactic also ceded possession.

However, get this: Johnson committed only 32 turnovers. On a team known for giveaways, Johnson’s low total stood in stark contrast. Opposing forwards rarely beat Johnson individually.

Another important factor is the Penguins “five-man unit” or rather the lack thereof. The Penguins defensemen as a whole did not have as much help for the first 50 games. The defensemen didn’t have enough outlets or players coming back to help, especially on the Penguins second and third lines. As a result, everyone looked bad.

Johnson does have below 50% advanced statistics. To harp on that aspect without acknowledging his strengths is like accounting but only counting the debits and not the credits. Fans, media, humans can skewer any player if their positives aren’t included.

A few more points would have pushed Johnson to a B range–he was that solid in the d-zone. A second season with the Penguins system and a little more help could raise Johnson’s numbers.

Erik Gudbranson: B+

Tabbed one of the worst defensemen in the league by Vancouver fans, Gudbranson was a powerful force for the Penguins. The positives aren’t hard to find. Gudbranson provided safe cover for the Penguins stars during the toughest part of the season. When the Penguins played the Washington Capitals, lightning rod forward Tom Wilson went for Gudbranson, not Sidney Crosby. Call that a win unto itself.

Gubdranson’s contributions go well beyond what didn’t happen to others. His play earned him a stable position in the lineup. His right-handed shot finally stabilized the Penguins defense with righties on all three pairings. Gudbranson’s work with Marcus Pettersson was as surprising as it was good.

The Penguins third pair defense not only provided good defense, but they also pushed some offense, too. Gudbranson’s advanced metrics were well above 50%. His Corsi at 54% and his scoring chance ratio (the important one) was 58%.

Importantly, Gudbranson also was not often beaten individually. There were a few bobbles…just like every other defenseman in the league.

Gudbranson played nearly 19 minutes per game with the Penguins. He threw 52 hits and committed only seven turnovers. Extrapolated over the course of a full season, Gudbranson would have delivered about 208 hits and made only 28 turnovers.

And protected the Penguins stars.

General Manager Jim Rutherford defended the Gudbranson trade by saying he had additional skills which Vancouver didn’t mine. Rutherford proved correct.

The Penguins may have a real find with Gudbranson. His locker room leadership is also renowned. Perhaps he will step forward next season. Gudbranson had two assists in 19 games and that is the only reason he did not receive an A.

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Pittsburgh Hockey Now owner, formerly 93.7 The Fan, Sportsnet Hockey Tonight. Catch Dan tweeting @theDanKingerski and the official @pghhockeynow account.

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7 Comments

7 Comments

  1. Dean

    May 15, 2019 at 9:52 am

    Dan, I have learned that you do not like it when people disagree with your wisdom, however here is why your grades are way too high for both players. Both of them are being paid second pair salaries, so how should that impact each of their grades. Did Johnson have a C+ second pair year? Did Gubranson have a B+ second pair year?

    When comparing them to their peers, the answer is no. Plus Gubranson’s performance is even further shewed since he primarily played 3rd pair which is against lower competition (3rd and 4th line forwards).

    Looking at the 62 starting second pair defenders and using a typical grading scale out of 100% did Gubranson perform in the the top 15% of second pair defenders and did Johnson perform in the top 25%? If that grading scale is too harsh then let’s take the 15 grading categories and equally weight them. Did Gubranson even perform in the the top 20% of second pair defenders and did Johnson perform in the top 40%?

    The fans that want to see these mistakes corrected, for those salaries want players who are truly playing C+ or higher against their peer set. Players who are ranked 50 or above in their position. Johnson is ranked 116th and Gubranson is ranked 79th. Heck we will even take the bottom of those who of the top 62 defenders, 61st and 62nd ranked.

    Once again just trying to help you understand the portion of your readers who are in the “Groupthink Zone”.

    • Dan Kingerski

      May 15, 2019 at 4:17 pm

      I appreciate a measured reply. A big adjustment I would make to your scale, however–Johnson isn’t paid like a top 25% defenseman. He’s actually in the bottom third of veteran defensemen–paid along the lines of Robert Hagg in Philly (about 105th of the top 150 veteran defensemen).

      • Dean

        May 15, 2019 at 4:48 pm

        You misunderstood. The top 25%-40% of the second pair LD. Not top 25% of all LD.

        That means there would be at least 31 first pair LD ahead of him and 25%-40% of 31 – 2nd pair LD ahead of him (7 to 20 – 2nd pair + at least 31 first pair LD) = total of 38 to 51). You are giving him a C+. I assumed you were grading him against his peers. No way Johnson is even close to that class. He is actual ranked below 115 other LDs. That would be all 31 first pairing, all 31 2nd pairing , and all 31 3rd pairing LD plus 22 others.

        He is being paid at least low-end of 2nd pair money, especially when you include age and term.

        Not sure how that equates to a C+ performance among his peers.

  2. Joe

    May 15, 2019 at 10:43 am

    Every team needs hard hitting tough defensemen to avoid getting pushed around. Stay at home net clearing defensemen get no appreciation in today’s NHL but that is unfair to them.
    Look at the last two goals the Penguins gave up in game 2 against the Islanders. First goal by Leddy was a point shot with a man in front of the net that Olli Maatta could not clear out. Jack Johnson plays and that man is thrown out of the net front. Second goal, Letang cheats up on a change loses the puck and gives up and odd man rush, which is something a stay at home defensemen wouldn’t do.
    It’s not a problem to cheat up sometimes but the problem is the timing it is done. Who was out of position too far up and let Kuznetsov slip behind them in game 6 last year? That would be Letang as well. Even worse, through the first 4 games against Washington last postseason the Capitals averaged 7 2v1’s per game which is way higher than the league average of 2 especially in the playoffs which is supposed to be tight checking.

    It’s not a problem to have a few defensemen who can be regular offensive contributors, but the big physical defensemen in the league who stay at home and play tight checking defense are needed for teams to win playoff series when games aren’t opened up and success comes from patience and defense like the Islanders, Hurricanes, and Bruins have done this year.

    • Dan Kingerski

      May 15, 2019 at 4:14 pm

      Joe, that’s a great reply. The number of those defensemen each team needs can be debated but their extinction will never occur. I’m continually surprised too many didn’t learn from the 2010 Penguins failure as they tried to rid themselves and the league of stay-at-home types…but were shut down by Hal Gill in Round 2.

  3. Eric Bouchard

    May 15, 2019 at 11:22 am

    I was one that was critical on signaing Johnson. Im not a fan. Yes he didnt had a “BAD year” And I like his physical plays in front of Murray’s net. But he looked really SLOW to me. Lacking mobility. Maybe the sroty would have been better if SHultz could have played all year with him being the “stay at home D” and SHultz providing offence. But Im sure GMJR could have signed something better with that amonth. On the other end, I loved E. Gudbransson’s play. I loved the fact that he took matter in his own hands to provide a little respect to the star players. And look pretty good doing so vs Ex: Tom Wilson.
    On the hockey side..I think he could be a great addition in the Pens D corps. WOUld love if they kept him for the next year. And surpisingly he was good with the puck, had good transition 1st pass for this type of player. If JJ is traded, he could easily replace him and even do better.

    FOr Me, Ruhwedel, MAatta, JJ should be gone this summer. Because of their contract. And the last 2 being TOO SLOW, lacking mobility . Maatta has 1 good games for 7 bad ones. SOmethimes we get a glimpse of what he could be ….but so rare.

    As for the Geno trade rumors. I dont beleive it at all. Even if I know something went wrong in november between HC and Geno in a video session. Hell broke loose after that incident.
    Hope Geno’s gets in shape this summer and works harder.

    Phil should be traded for young prospect and draft picks. The Pens really need draft picks for the next few years.

  4. Cal

    May 15, 2019 at 4:40 pm

    Gudbranson and Jack are not as bad as many believe…..Kessel needs to be traded to improve the team……..geez, were we separated at birth?

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