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Penguins vs. Flyers Prediction, Odds, Picks (May 3, 2021)

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Pittsburgh Penguins bet, Philadelphia Flyers,
Photo Credit: Heather Barry Image

These games used to really matter. Tonight, for the Pittsburgh Penguins and Philadelphia Flyers, it seems just another game on the season’s calendar. That’s what happens when one team goes horribly south, as the Flyers have this season. The Flyers have lost three straight, four of their last five, and are 5-9-3 over their last 17 games. That means they are setting up the tee times for next week once their season ends, while the Penguins get ready for the postseason, and Penguins betting may pounce.

Let’s take a look at this matchup from a betting perspective in our Penguins vs. Flyers betting preview with odds, picks, and predictions.

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Evgeni Malkin will return to the Penguins lineup, and Mike Sullivan could earn the Jack Adams award as coach of the year because he took a Penguins team that had low expectations and has them in first place in the division. The Pittsburgh Penguins are coming off consecutive wins in Washington, where they surpassed the Caps for the East Division lead, have won six of their last seven, and are a red hot 16-4-2 over their last 22 games. Ahem, Penguins betting.

Talk about two teams headed in different directions.

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Flyers vs. Penguins Betting Pick

The Penguins are deep. Evgeni Malkin will return to the lineup (another ahem, Penguins betting), and Jeff Carter already paying dividends since being acquired at the trade deadline last month, the Pittsburgh Penguins can score in a lot of ways.

Last time out, the Penguins got two goals from Bryan Rust and one from Carter. That game followed a two-goal effort from Kasperi Kapanen, the game-winner from Jake Guentzel, and depth scoring from Frederick Gaudreau and Zach Aston-Reese.

Notice whose name isn’t listed: Sidney Crosby. Not that he hasn’t been good for the Penguins this season, because he has. Still, it shows that even with him on the scoresheet or Evgeni Malkin, who will return tonight after missing 23 consecutive games, the Penguins can still put the puck in the net.

That concept is something that is completely lost on the Flyers — putting the puck in the net. The Flyers have just 38 goals in their last 17 games (2.24 per game), and they have been held to two goals or fewer nine times in that span. The Flyers bigger problem, as it has been all season, is defense and goaltending. In those same 17 games, the Flyers have allowed 63 goals (3.71 per game).

The one silver lining for the Flyers is they (somehow) lead the season series against Pittsburgh (4-2-0).

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Flyers vs. Penguins Odds

Here are the lines for Penguins vs. Flyers at DraftKings Sportsbook:

TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal
Penguins+1.5 (-286)-105O 5.5 (+115)
Islanders-1.5 (+230)-110U 5.5 (-139)

Penguins Bets We Like With a Pittsburgh Win

Penguins -1.5 (+143, DraftKings)

This bet looks to good to be true, doesn’t it? The Flyers have been losing games by an average of 1.5 goals for more than a month. The Penguins offense is top notch. The Flyers goaltending is a sieve. Don’t overthink it. Look at this one as a gift that oddsmakers overlooked and just take the Pittsburgh Penguins to cover this number.

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Flyers Bets We Like With a Philly Win

Flyers to win after falling one goal or more behind (+460, DraftKings)

We don’t particularly like the Flyers to win this game, but, if you have a few extra pennies to throw around looking for a longshot to hit, these are some great odds. After all, the Flyers have allowed the first goal of the game 10 consecutive times. And the one thing about the Flyers is that they do mount comebacks. Even after they get behind, they find ways to occasionally win. Heck, in three of the four games they’ve won against Pittsburgh this season, the Penguins scored first.

Bets We Like Independent of Outcome

Penguins to score first and win the match  (+112, FanDuel)

The Penguins are -175 just to win the game. Add in the Flyers’ first period woes and issues with giving up the first goal (they’ve allowed their opponent to score first in 31 of 51 games this season), and you are basically getting the Penguins to win at a great value with this bet.

Flyers vs. Penguins Prediction

There really is no contest here. The Penguins are the far superior team. A lot of Flyers players are not giving a 60-minute effort right now. Their goaltending has been atrocious.

What else is there really to say?. The Penguins will win, cover the puck like and probably take the game over the 6.5 goals as well.

Pick: Penguins 5, Flyers 2

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