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Flyers vs. Penguins Prediction, Odds, Picks (May 4, 2021)

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Penguins betting, Wells Fargo Center, Flyers
Wildcat7176, CC BY-SA 4.0 , via Wikimedia Commons

No one saw that coming. The Pittsburgh Penguins were trying to hold on to first place in the East Division against a moribund Philadelphia Flyers team, struggling to both score and stop the other team from scoring while starting a third-string goalie. It was an instant recipe for a Penguins win until it wasn’t. The Flyers wrangled a stunning 7-2 blowout victory at the Wells Fargo Center.

Fortunately for the Pittsburgh Penguins, they get an immediate shot at redemption tonight.

Let’s take a look at this May 4, 2021 matchup from a betting perspective in our Flyers vs. Penguins betting preview with odds, picks, and predictions.

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The Penguins are now in second place, again chasing the Washington Capitals. Meanwhile, the Flyers are fired up to play spoiler against their most hated rival, whom they’ve beaten five out of seven times this season. It’s why they play the games, I guess.

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Flyers vs. Penguins Betting Pick

Evgeni Malkin returned to the lineup for the Pittsburgh Penguins on Monday after missing 23 games with a lower-body injury. That should have been a boost for the Penguins, but it wasn’t. Malkin picked up a secondary assist on a power-play goal by Sidney Crosby but was otherwise invisible. It was as if the Penguins were a bit overconfident that they could take down the hapless Flyers. Instead, Philadelphia pushed them around for the first two periods, which, incidentally, were maybe the Flyers best two periods in months.

Philly had five players record multi-point performances. Claude Giroux had two goals and an assist. Joel Farabee had a goal and two assists. Jake Voracek had three helpers, while Travis Konecny had two. Shayne Gostisbehere added a goal and two assists.

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Flyers vs. Penguins Odds

Here are the lines for Penguins vs. Flyers at DraftKings Sportsbook:

TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal
Sabres+1.5 (+133)+295O 6.5 (-104)
Penguins-1.5 (-159)-360U 6.5 (-118)

Penguins Bets We Like With a Pittsburgh Win

Sidney Crosby OVER 0.5 Power Play Points (+200, FanDuel)

While there was a lot of unexpected action last night, the one thing that remained consistent was the Flyers’ dreadful penalty kill.

The Penguins scored both of their goals on the power play. It was the third time in four games, and the fifth time in 11 games, the Flyers have allowed multiple power-play goals. The Flyers have the No. 30 penalty kill out of 31 NHL teams. Meanwhile, Crosby’s 21 power-play points lead the Penguins and are tied for eighth-best in the NHL. It seems like really good value to play it here.

Flyers Bets We Like With a Philly Win

Joel Farabee OVER 0.5 points (+122, FanDuel)

The Flyers have a bunch of players who really enjoy playing against the Pittsburgh Penguins. Four Flyers are averaging more than a point per game in the seven contests this season against the Penguins. And while you can get decent odds on Travis Konecny (+104), who has 11 points against the Penguins, Claude Giroux (-114), who has nine points against the Penguins, and Jake Voracek (-124), who has eight points, Joel Farabee offers the best odds to register at least one point in the game.

Farabee is tied with Konecny and Giroux as the Flyers’ leading goal scorer against the Penguins with four goals. He also has registered nine total points (4-5-9) in seven games. This could be a sneaky good play considering the value.

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Penguins Bets We Like Independent of Outcome

Penguins to WIN/UNDER 6.5 goals  (+190, DraftKings)

You should jump on the under in this game, no matter what.  The Flyers have been miserable defensively, and the Penguins have had some defensive hiccups of their own, but both teams have had the majority of their games since April 1 come in under 6.5 goals (Flyers 10-7; Penguins 9-8). Pittsburgh also usually responds well to a high-scoring game when they play the same team in the next game, going under 6.5 goals to the tune of a 10-6 mark (63%).

Couple that with the Penguins not taking the Flyers lightly a second night in a row, as well as Tristan Jarry getting the start in net coming off a pair of shutouts, and this one has the makings of a lower-scoring game–one the Penguins should win. Take this parlay and cash in.

Flyers vs. Penguins Prediction

The Flyers showed one thing Monday – they want to play spoiler. The Penguins now know that and will look to respond. Expect a lower-scoring, tight, defensive game this time around.

Pick: Penguins 3, Flyers 2

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