The NBA Finals have been a recreational sports betting dream. The Phoenix Suns and Milwaukee Bucks each won two at home, the favorite has covered, but Game 5 Saturday night will leave all NBA betting with a fork in the road. Travel down the path of patterns and consistencies or fade the trend.
To heed the wise words of famous American philosopher Yogi Berra, let’s take that fork and trek through the best NBA betting options of Saturday night’s Game 5 tilt between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Phoenix Suns.
Here’s a dive into the Suns vs. Bucks NBA betting preview with odds, picks, and predictions.
Current line for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Phoenix Suns at DraftKings Sportsbook:
Spread: Milwaukee Bucks +3.5 (-105); Phoenix Suns -3.5 (-115)
Moneyline: Bucks (+145); Suns (-165)
Over/Under: 220 (U -115)
Game 5 NBA Betting Prediction
It’s pretty obvious who has the upper hand in this series.
While it looked like the “Suns in four” guy was going to have another moment of glory, the Bucks held serve at home, winning two decisive games and pushing the young Suns right back on the ropes.
Chris Paul looks like a point guard running out of more and more gas as each game in this series goes by, while Booker posts inconsistent numbers, and the paint is now a safe zone for Milwaukee’s bigs to patrol freely.
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The Game 5 NBA Bets We Love
Milwaukee Bucks to win (+145 – DraftKings)
In sports betting, you have to be a consistent creature of habit. If you’re handicapping a series one way, if there haven’t been drastic changes or injuries that change the dynamic, then stick with your original prom date.
We’re taking the Bucks and those sweet, sweet odds.
Since Game 2, the Milwaukee Bucks have done just enough offensively while pushing back defensively to keep the Suns at bay to even the series, 2-2.
While it failed in the first two games, the perimeter defense for the Bucks was airtight in Games 3 and 4. They held Phoenix to 16 of 53 from beyond-the-arc in Games 3 and 4 while holding Devin Booker and Chris Paul to a meager 2-for-16. That’s a far cry from Devin Booker, who rained seven 3’s in Phoenix’s Game 2 route.
When you take away the Sun’s 3-pointer, it puts them into a sticky situation. If DeAndre Ayton isn’t dominating in the paint and impacting the high/low screen game, the Suns become a one-dimensional dud in the half court.
I would expect much of the same defensive pressure on the outside from the Bucks while they’ve settled into a more comfortable position handling Ayton and the rebound game.
Jrue Holiday OVER 18.5 points (-116 – FanDuel)
Holiday has been a sink or swim on the offensive end. Shooting a miserable 4 of 20 from the field in Game 4 was one of the few low points for Milwaukee. The game prior, Holiday drained 21 points and was a key cog to the win.
His Jekyll and Hyde volatility is clear, but so are his consistent wide-open looks at the basket. With Phoenix focused on Giannis Antetokoumpo and Khris Middleton, Holiday has gotten an abundance of clean looks, with the Suns are daring the point guard to finish. Tonight, Holiday finishes those looks.
Lock it. Smoke the cigar.
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Bucks 115, Suns 103