The much-anticipated NBA Finals Game 4 matchup between the Milwaukee Bucks and Phoenix Suns is upon the sports betting community. Will it be 3-1 Suns or 2-2 going back to Phoenix for Game 5? This is going to be fun and you can get a 150-1 odds bonus with DraftKings.
Milwaukee opened this series looking like it would suffer the early fate of Bambi’s mother. Luckily, for entertainment purposes, the Bucks rallied after the opening credits and bounced back in a big way at home in Game 3, winning 120-100.
Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Bucks will look to hold serve tonight in Milwaukee. They enter a 4.5-point home betting favorite, much like Game 3.
Speaking of Antetokounmpo, the guy has been an absolute menace to the Phoenix Suns. He’s just the sixth player in NBA history to post back-to-back 40-point games in the NBA Finals, and his Luke Skywalker carrying Yoda-esque intensity hasn’t even come close to slowing down, nor has anyone been able to defend him properly.
Let’s look at Game 4 from a betting perspective in our NBA Finals betting preview with odds, picks, and predictions.
NBA Final Game 4 Betting Odds
Here are the current to win odds from FanDuel:
Spread: Milwaukee: -4.5 (-112); Phoenix +4.5 (-109)
Moneyline: Milwaukee -200; Phoenix +168
And your 150-1 odds bonus, too.
Game 4 Betting Prediction
There is a well-known adage in the sports betting world that if all signs point to one team, you best run to the other side quickly. In the case of tonight’s matchup, that other side would be the Phoenix Suns.
After its lackluster performance offensively in Game 3, including the inability to stop Antetokoumpo and friends at the rim, the Suns are looking for more answers. It’s the first time they’ve looked lost since trailing the Lakers way back when. Yet Phoenix is just a game away from putting the Bucks in a 3-1 deficit and one home game away from eliminating the Bucks.
NBA basketball is so volatile, ain’t it?
In all three games, the favorite has not only won, but they’ve covered handsomely with differences of 10, 13, and 20.
It’s only a matter of time before the underdog gets some love in this series.
The Game 4 NBA Bets We Love
Phoenix Suns +4.5, straight up (+168 – FanDuel)
It looks like this sports betting preview caters to the Milwaukee Bucks, but when you peel back layer after layer, we should all know the plain truth: the Suns are the better team. What goes up must come down in this league, and we saw Phoenix’s rough landing in Game 3. I wouldn’t expect that to be a trend, as the Suns have bounced back every time these playoffs after a sub-par night from 3-point (shooting 30% or less from the arc), connecting on double-digit numbers in every rebound game.
You can’t expect Booker to shoot nearly as bad as he did in Game 3, and you can’t expect Giannis to continue his 40-point melees while mostly carrying the rest of his team on his back.
The Suns can beat you from the bench, from 3-point, and by squeezing you defensively. If two out of three things happen tonight, you should expect Phoenix to be one game closer to hoisting the trophy.
Devin Booker UNDER 2.5 made 3-pointers (-125 – DraftKings)
While I expect the shooting guard to have a much better performance tonight, I’m not anticipating the bulk of it to be done from the 3-point line.
If we look at Booker’s wild game log from beyond-the-arc these playoffs, he’s gone from going 8 of 10 in game 6 vs. the Lakers to banging a combined eight 3-pointers in the entire series against Denver. He cashed in on seven 3’s in Game 2 of this series yet is a combined 2 of 15 in the other two games.
Booker is a creature of his team’s flow. He reads the tempo and augments the offense in the best way he can in that given moment. Tonight, we should expect him to get to the rim much more, getting in touch with his deadly mid-range game. He’s at his best going to the rim, and so are the Suns, for that matter.
Chris Paul to record a double-double (+110 – FanDuel)
After rebounding from injury against in the Lakers series, Chris Paul has found the fountain of youth, and he’s double-fisting pints from it.
Scoring no less than 17 points in each game following that series against the Lakers, Paul has also racked up the assist, combining for 25 dimes in this series alone.
While Paul has just three double-doubles in this incredible postseason campaign so far, he’s been knocking on the door in this series, just missing the decade mark by one in two of three games.
Expecting a much better shooting performance from Phoenix tonight – and Booker to get off the snide – Paul should have no problem tallying his assist numbers, as the point guard continues his remarkable run through this NBA postseason.
Game 4 NBA Betting Prediction
Success in the win/loss column is based on support, and Milwaukee finally received that shot in the arm in Game 3, when Jrue Holiday went off for 21 points and Kris Middleton with 18.
On the flip side, the Suns finally came back down to Earth after two nights of magnificent shooting from beyond the arc. In Game 3, the Suns shot just 9 of 31 from three, with Jae Crowder checking in on six of those makes.
To make matters worse, Devin Booker plummeted harder than Megan Fox’s career after she compared Michael Bay to Hitler, going for a playoff-low 10 points on 3 of 14 shooting.
With the Suns coming back down to earth and the Bucks look like a rejuvenated team, could the betting option in tonight’s game be that cut and dry?
Suns 112, Bucks 106
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